A captivating and user-friendly tour of Bayes’s theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of The Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy. At its simplest, Bayes’s theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays ou...(展开全部)

汤姆·奇弗斯（Tom Chivers） 著名科普作者、出版人，他擅长解释复杂理论在日常生活中的实际应用，因而成为了科学写作领域广受欢迎的作家之一。2018年、2020年两次获得皇家统计学会卓越奖；2021年荣获英国科学作家协会的年度科学记者奖。

'This little book is full of insights about who we are and where we are going.' - Financial Times The most accessible book yet by one of the most influential thinkers of our time, Runaway World evaluates the ever-increasing impact of globalization today. Extending his arguments beyond the merely economic, Giddens shows how our growing interdependence directly affects our everyd...(展开全部)

安东尼·吉登斯（Anthony Giddes），英国著名学者，现任伦敦政治经济学院院长，曾任英国布莱尔首相和美国前总统克林顿顾问，出版著作30余部。

F. S. 迈克尔斯 出生于加拿大，2011年因本书对公共议题做出批判性的分析，而荣获2011年NCTE乔治·奥威尔奖。 迈克尔斯形容自己是个“深入钻研的通识性作家”。她利用广泛的研究，在各个学科之间建立了惊人的联系，寻找出乎意料的模式，挖掘看不见却深深影响我们世界运作的社会结构。她的研究与写作得到加拿大社会科学和人文研究理事会的支持。 - 黄煜文，台湾大学历史学硕士，专职译者。代表译作有《阅读蒙田，是为了生活》《伊斯坦布尔三城记》《巴黎城记：现代性之都的诞生》等

How do scientists develop new explanations of disease? How do those explanations become accepted as true? And how does medical diagnosis change when physicians are confronted with new scientific evidence? These are some of the questions that Paul Thagard pursues in this pathbreaking book that develops a new, integrative approach to the study of science. Ranging through the hist...(展开全部)

A powerfully argued work that combines reporting, sociology, economics, and urban studies to show how the migration of workers from villages to urban centers has become one of the most significant forces in the world today. For the first time in history, there are now more people in the world living in cities than in rural areas, and many of them are clustering on the urban o...(展开全部)

Through compelling personal stories, Sylvia Earle puts the peril of the ocean and its life in perspective for a wide public audience. Less than 10 per cent of all fish species remain. Half the coral reefs globally have died or are in sharp decline. Since the 1950s, 300 dead zones - oxygen-deficient areas that can't sustain life - have appeared along coasts. Contaminated water i...(展开全部)

about this book A Silent Spring for our era, this eloquent, urgent, fascinating book reveals how just 50 years of swift and dangerous oceanic change threatens the very existence of life on Earth. Legendary marine scientist Sylvia Earle portrays a planet teetering on the brink of irreversible environmental crisis. In recent decades we’ve learned more about the ocean than in all ...(展开全部)

A powerfully argued work that combines reporting, sociology, economics, and urban studies to show how the migration of workers from villages to urban centers has become one of the most significant forces in the world today. For the first time in history, there are now more people in the world living in cities than in rural areas, and many of them are clustering on the urban o...(展开全部)